
Existential challenges ahead: Implications of proposed funding cuts and considerations for academic health enterprises
Healthcare is in the crosshairs of the Trump Administration’s efforts to reduce federal spending.
The administration has signaled several actions that would significantly lower funding for academic health enterprises and universities. While it remains unclear which changes will go into effect, potential actions include: National Institutes of Health (NIH) direct and indirect payment reductions, Medicaid match reductions leading to reimbursement decreases and/or changes to Medicaid eligibility, and site neutrality payment changes.
Each of these potential changes could create massive financial challenges for academic health enterprises, universities, and the broader healthcare industry. Some estimates suggest the NIH indirect funding cuts alone would result in many of the top academic health enterprises losing more than $100 million in revenue annually.1
This is not the first time academic health enterprises have faced financial challenges. However, the potential magnitude of these changes, on the heels of the pandemic recovery, make it a particularly challenging time to drive change. Most academic health systems operate on thin margins today—with the average operating margin at 0.5%—making it challenging to contemplate how to cut more spending.2 Yet academic health enterprises have proven themselves extremely resilient. They have weathered numerous financial challenges, including the late 1990s Balanced Budget Act, which resulted in teaching hospital margins falling by 50% between 1996 and 1999.3
Given the uncertainty about the nature and magnitude of potential revenue reductions, many academic health enterprise leaders are developing contingency plans for potential funding reductions (ranging from 5% to 15%) and the potential impact across different aspects of the Quadruple Aim.
To effectively plan for the uncertain future, we recommend executives proceed on three paths simultaneously:
I. Communicate the potential scale and scope of the coming challenges to faculty, staff, and the community, and engage faculty and staff in driving change.
II. Aggressively pursue improvements in both academic and clinical enterprise efficiency.
III. Assess opportunities to restructure the overall strategic direction, asset mix, and organizational design.
In this article, we briefly highlight the types of initiatives that academic health enterprise leadership teams should initiate within their organizations to ensure the long-term sustainability and viability of their enterprises.
Leaders should plan now for the uncertain future to ensure sustainability
It is incumbent on every academic health enterprise leadership team and governance body to quickly develop plans for both modest and dramatic operational and strategic restructuring if they are to minimize the potential for significant losses over the next few years. While some of the more aggressive policies may be reversed over time, that could take several years—during which the survival of some organizations will be at risk.
Sources:
1 Emily Badger, et al, “How Trump’s Medical Research Cuts Would Hit Colleges and Hospitals in Every State,” The New York Times, February 13, 2025, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/02/13/upshot/nih-trump-funding-cuts.html.
2 Moody’s Investor Service, Average 2023 Operating Margin for Health Systems with “Academic Medical System” as organization type.
3 Robert L. Phillips, Jr., et al, “The Balanced Budget Act of 1997 and the Financial Health of Teaching Hospitals,” Annals of Family Medicine, January 2024, https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC1466620/.